Separate analysis

Structure

Buy, sell, or hold from chart structure alone: a mechanical Elliott count, Bollinger bands, RSI, MACD, and ADX for trend strength. ATR sizes the stops. This does not change the dashboard's signal and it does not send email.

Not financial advice

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Green is the buy side, red is the sell side. 0 of 7 agree.

BTC · 1D

$69,270

Down 29% across this chart

Range $57,740–$126,198

$55,094$86,032$134,344Nov 23, 2024Nov 18, 2025Nov 13, 2026

Nov 23, 2024 to Nov 13, 2026. The line is the close, and the shade is each candle's high-to-low range. The vertical scale is logarithmic, so equal distances are equal percentage moves. Prices from Kraken.

1D structure

HOLD

Every structure reading on the 1D chart is neutral. Most of the time the right move is nothing — hold.

BTC $69,270Score 0Agreement 0Chart 1DUpdated Nov 13, 10:46 AM

Wave count

Mechanical count: a falling A-B-C, sitting on wave C. 2 of 4 Elliott rules hold on the 1D chart. A new swing is marked only after a 12% reversal. Spot is $69,270, 2.6% above the last swing at $67,500.

$53,846$72,939$92,032StartABC

Price is the solid line. Bollinger bands are the lighter lines. Dashes connect the swing points in the count.

Indicators

Each reading scored from strong-sell (−2) to strong-buy (+2). ADX and ATR are context and are not scored: ADX decides whether band and RSI extremes read as reversals or as pullbacks within a trend, and ATR sizes the stops.

  • Elliott count

    A-B-C down

    Too few rules hold to score · score 0

    2 of 4 rules hold. A count needs three in four to be scored.

  • Trend · ADX 14

    25

    Trending down

    ADX is 25 and rising. The downside line (−DI 35) is above the upside line (+DI 10). In a trend, price can ride a Bollinger band and RSI can stay stretched for a long time, so stretched readings are not scored as reversals. Pullbacks are scored in the trend's direction.

  • Bollinger %B

    -10%

    Riding the lower band · score 0

    Price is outside the lower Bollinger band. %B is 0% at the lower band and 100% at the upper band. Middle $76,650, upper $82,770, lower $70,530.

  • RSI 14

    26

    Weak, as downtrends often are · score 0

    RSI is oversold. It shows no divergence across the last two lows.

  • MACD 12/26/9

    -647

    Negative momentum · score 0

    The MACD histogram is negative. The MACD line shows no divergence across the last two lows.

  • ATR 14

    $2,439

    Context, not scored

    A typical 1D candle spans $2,439 from high to low, about 3.5% of price. The high-risk corner sets its stop and targets in ATRs.

High-risk corner

Optional leveraged setups derived from this chart's structure verdict, with the stop and targets measured in ATRs. Strict stops, predefined profit-taking, small size. Skip this section entirely and nothing is lost.

No setup — flat is a position.

No structure edge on the 1D chart. Leverage without edge is just paying funding to gamble — the best trade here is no trade.

Elliott rules

2 of 4 hold. A miss stays visible.

  • Wave A has a directionHolds
  • Wave B retraces 38–90% of wave ABreaks
  • Wave C continues in the direction of wave AHolds
  • Wave C travels 62–162% of wave ABreaks

Fibonacci map

Levels taken from the count above. They are reference prices, not orders.

  • 38% pullback of wave C$75,1202.4 ATR above spot
  • 50% pullback of wave C$77,4733.4 ATR above spot
  • 62% pullback of wave C$79,8274.3 ATR above spot